Friday, December 16, 2011

Two Way Street: Analysis of the Divergent Paths of Political Development in India and Nigeria. BY OYINKANSOLA MARIAM MURAINA

Following the end of World War II, the Great Britain found that she was no longer capable of retaining control over all of her colonies. The war left the British overstretched both monetarily and physically, hastening the independence of several developing states, including India and Nigeria. The former declared independence in 1947[1] following a long “fight,” in which revolutionaries used Henry David Thoreau’s teachings on civil disobedience (largely propagated by Mohandas K. Gandhi[2]) to disrupt British administration. Nigeria, on the other hand, became independent on October 1, 1960[3], following much British planning for the transfer of power from colonial authorities to the native elites.  However, these nations share far more than a former colonizer and status as a developing nation.
Both India and Nigeria are nations, which encompass people from over 200 ethno-linguistic groups (speaking “mutually unintelligible languages”[4]). Furthermore, in both countries, the diversity of religion exacerbates problems inherent in such a heterogeneous nation. Nigeria and India have tried to mitigate these issues with the institution of federalism, continuing creation of states to dissolve power, and patronage politics. Perhaps most disappointingly, both Nigeria and India have had consistent problems with distribution of wealth, evident in the gap between their overall GDP ranking and that of their per-capita GDP[5]. Yet with these and far more similarities between Nigeria and India, their political evolution has been markedly different. Therefore, the relative political saliency of the Indian government compared with the instability evident in Nigerian political history begs the question: What caused these nations’ political institutions to evolve along such different lines? More specifically, what has prevented Nigeria from preserving stable, respected democratic institutions and is there a model for development that can aid this process (such as that of East Asia)?
In attempting to appropriately analyze this question, one must take into account several factors, which differentiate Nigeria from India and have led to divergent stories. One major difference between India and Nigeria lies in their pre-colonial history. India had “a centuries-old civilization that had evolved and spread through most of the Indian subcontinent well before the establishment of British colonial rule”[6], whereas Nigeria was a collection of separate ethnic groups, each with a different form of government, history, and culture. Secondly, in India the cleavages between different ethnic and religious groups are cross-cutting[7], meaning that all of the ethnic groups are forced to interact and at times unite in order to achieve mutual goals. On the other hand, the cleavages in Nigerian society remain overlapping, meaning that each group is geographically separated and competes for allocation of resources and access to power. Finally, India and Nigeria went about federalism in slightly different ways, with the latter developing a pluralistic state and the former taking up a dominant-party system[8]. The sum of these differences explains the divergent levels of success in preserving democratic institutions in India and Nigeria. Furthermore, these issues, among others, display why the East Asian developmental model could not be applied to Nigeria as of yet. 
Prior to the entrenchment of the Nigerian status quo, the region now known as Nigeria existed as a markedly different entity. In the North, (mostly made up of the Fulani and Hausa ethnic groups) the leadership was comprised of emirs and palace officials. In the Southwestern region there existed a two historical kingdoms (both Yoruba): the Ile-Ife and the Oyo kingdoms. Both administered leadership through a centralized monarchy.[9] In the Southeast, leadership was administered through what Okechukwu Iheduru called “decentralized segmented political systems” with all-male and all-female village assemblies. Outside of these major ethnic groups, smaller ethnicities had their own forms of government as well. However, the arbitrary borders created at the Berlin Conference (1884-1885), which brought together the region of “Nigeria”  (formally combined in the amalgamation of 1914) suddenly forced groups of people with different languages, government, and histories together and politicized their identities[10]. When the British eventually handed over power in 1960, they left behind a people without a cohesive political history and with no ties to one another.
Therefore, the Western style government established after independence and those within it continue to hold little legitimacy in Nigeria. Joel Migdal aptly described this case by noting “the ineffectiveness of state leaders who have faced impenetrable barriers to state predominance has stemmed from the nature of the societies they have confronted—from the resistance posed by chiefs, landlords…(for convenience ‘strongmen’) through their various organizations.”[11] In order to maintain power and assuage the concerns of these “strongmen” Nigeria has used two methods: the first being the proliferation of patronage politics and the second being allowing some groups to exercise autonomy over the law in their land. For example, the Nigerian government has allowed for Sharia law to be instituted in predominantly Muslim regions, which in turn leads to different patterns of development in the North and South. Also, the resultant politics has led to a widely corrupt government, in which all branches, from the executive to the judiciary have lost the little legitimacy they held to begin with.
This can easily be contrasted the political legacy left in India, where “in spite of the formation of diverse linguistic communities, from the time of the Indo-Aryan settlement…a common civilization began to take shape in the northern and central plains.”[12] This history meant that most Indians remained comfortable with centralized rule and few questioned the legitimacy of the political systems developed as a whole.[13] This difference proves extremely important when looking at the string of coups, which have disrupted Nigerian democracy, including a pair in January and July of 1966—the first of which was welcomed by the masses who were tired of corruption, the second caused by suspicion that the Igbos were attempting to take control. Meanwhile, India has never seen a coup d’état, implying that even when the Indian people hold grievances with the leader, they do not consider the entire system as flawed. For example, following Sikh dissatisfaction with Indira Gandhi, Gandhi was assassinated, but the government was not disposed. This conclusion works when evaluating the assassination of Rajiv Gandhi as well.
Yet the reason why Nigerians consistently lack confidence in their government is deeper than the difference in their legacies. Nigeria, unlike India, is a nation with overlapping cleavages in every sense of the word. In the North, the majority of the population is either Hausa or Fulani and is predominantly Muslim. In the Southwest, the majority of the population is Yoruba and is both Christian and Muslim[14], whereas in the Southeast, the majority is Igbo and predominantly Christian. Therefore, conflicts between the groups can take on either a religious or ethnic strain. This differs from India in that the dominance of Hinduism in most regions (if not a strong presence in all regions) provides Indians in various regions with a singular identity. On the other hand, because the divisions in Nigeria are so overlapping, small issues can easily balloon into major conflicts, as members of one ethnic group are quick to accuse others of trying to attain a monopoly of power.
This is evidenced by the second coup in 1966, where the Igbo dominated military leadership was overthrown due to the lack of charges brought against Igbo leaders for corruption and the enactment of the Decree no. 34 of 1966, “which unified the federal bureaucracy and police forces…[which] undermined…federalism.”[15] Following the killing of the leader of the first coup (General Ironsi) General Gowon came to power and several pogroms of Igbos in the North took place. The final straw, however, came when the government divided the country into twelve states, three of which came from the former Eastern Region.[16] At that point, the East declared independence and the Biafra war commenced, taking nearly three million lives between 1967 and 1970. Not only does the war display the depth of the overlapping cleavages, but it also explains the continued lack of trust and the constant enmity between the ethnic groups.
While there may be enmity between the ethnic groups (Dravidians, Indo-Aryans, Telegu, Tamil etc.) in India, there has yet to be a large-scale civil war between the groups. As mentioned previously, this is partially because of the existence of Hinduism as a mollifying force. In Kashmir, there has been unrest, as it represents an overlapping cleavage in India, but this has not been enough to disrupt democracy all together. Other notable religious conflicts in recent years occurred in Gujarat, when hordes of Hindus went into largely Muslim areas and killed a number of people following an attack on a train that killed a few Hindus[17]. Yet while this resembles the attacks on the Igbo in the North, one must emphasize the fact that these have yet cause a significant disturbance in India’s political structure.  For this reason, “gentlemen’s agreements” are not commonplace in India as in Nigeria. Furthermore, while the agreement—to alternate the leadership of the country between ethnic groups from different regions—is nowhere to be found in Nigeria’s constitution, it has been pivotal in maintaining stability in the country. This differs from India, where the lack of Muslim Prime-Ministers, for example, has never warranted an informal agreement.
In fact, the need to ensure representation in India is not so much focused upon ethnic or religious representation as much as upon representation of all castes. This has led to a system of “reservations,” (similar to the programs for ethnic minorities in Nigeria) for members of lower castes. Yet when the Indian government approved measures like the Mandal Report of 1990, the upper-castes responded not by asking for a new government, but by changing their last names in order to be perceived as a member of a lower caste and “suicide of several upper-caste students.”[18] The approval of the report did help to engender support for the BJP (Bhatriya Janata Party) and their hinduttva agenda, also supporting the idea that the Indian people see the government as a means to achieve their ends, not as an inherent obstacle to them.[19]
Support for India’s government may seem startling to some, since a single party has dominated its political atmosphere (the Congress party with recent challenges by the BJP). However, because of the winner take all system and the need to have a majority to consolidate power in the Parliament, the political parties, including the Congress party, must form alliances in order to maintain power. In many ways this represents a normalizing force in Indian politics, as it forces the parties to broaden their rhetoric in order to maintain power. This differs from the politics of Nigeria, which is pluralistic. Yet, several would expect the result to be the same, as the need for Nigerian politicians (for President) to achieve twenty-five percent of the vote in two-thirds of the states would seemingly force them to broaden their appeal.
Sadly, that has not been the case. Parties in Nigeria usually start along ethnic lines,[20] such as the Action Group (Yoruba) and Northern Elements Progressive Union (minority in North). Furthermore, because ethnic appeals rarely gain widespread support, voter fraud has become a common theme, the most reprehensible case being in the 2003 presidential election Obasanjo and General Buhari. In the election, results in some regions even exceeded the population count. Still, the judiciary upheld the elections, determining that Obasanjo would have won with or without the fraud; further undermining support for the government.[21]
The lack of legitimacy held by Nigeria’s government leaves several wondering what could be a viable solution for the country.  While some propose the East-Asian model of development, such solutions ignore the drastic differences in the composition, administration, and culture on the ground. For example, Clifford Geertz recognized that a nation of communalism is a key challenge to nation building. Furthermore, he pointed out that the existence of primordial identities undermines allegiance to the state.[22]Both are extremely strong in Nigeria and already inhibit the Nigerian government’s ability to sustain development. The conditions needed for nation building are further expanded upon by Chalmers Johnson, who points out that Japan’s remarkable development seems “unattainable under true political pluralism.”[23] Nigeria’s government, on the other hand, is by constitutional definition, pluralistic and, therefore, not suitable to that type of development. Johnson also includes a stable political bureaucratic elite, balance between public and private sectors, heavy investment in primary and secondary education, and reasonable government utilization of price mechanisms. However, the government of Nigeria lacks stability (constant charges of corruption, several coups, and underhanded attempts to change the constitution[24]), has consistently shed jobs from the public sector (which were often attained through patronage), and has devalued the naira to embarrassingly low levels without contemplating the domestic consequences.[25]
Therefore, while the East Asian model remains admirable in its speed and effectiveness, Nigeria must undergo serious, substantive reform before it can even consider following in the footsteps of Eastern Asia. This reform includes the end to ethno-centric politics, a consistent and far-reaching effort to eliminate corruption, and efforts to legitimize the government. These measures would not only aid Nigeria in its developmental goals, but also aid Nigeria in attaining the political stability of its Indian peers, while providing relief to the millions suffering from the rampant misdevelopment within.


Works Cited
Geertz, Clifford. "The Integrative Revolution: Primordial Sentiments and Civil Politics in the New States." The Interpretation of Cultures: Selected Essays. New York, NY: Basic, 2008. Print.
Iheduru, Okechukwu, “Nigeria,” in J. Kopstein and M. Lichbach, eds. Comparative Politics: Interests, Identities and Institutions in a Changing Global Order (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2008), pp. 535-587
Johnson, Chalmers, “Political Institutions and Economic Performance: Japan, South Korea and Taiwan,” in F.C. Deyo ed. The Political Economy of the New Asian Industrialism (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1987), pp. 136-164
Johnson, Samuel, and O. Johnson. The History of the Yorubas from the Earliest times to the Beginning of the British Protectorate. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 2010. 70. Print.
Migdal, Joel, Strong Societies and Weak States (Princeton University Press, 1988) pp. 3-15, 33-41.
Mustafa, Seema. "Gujarat Riots: Narendra Modis Role Is the Larger Issue - Analysis - DNA." DNA: Daily News & Analysis. 11 Nov. 2011. Web. 26 Nov. 2011. <http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/comment_gujarat-riots-narendra-modis-role-is-the-larger-issue_1610749>.
Sil, Rudra, “India,” in J. Kopstein and M. Lichbach, eds. Comparative Politics: Interests, Identities and Institutions in a Changing Global Order (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2008), pp. 367-417.




[1] See Sil p367
[2] It is worth noting that the need for the British to coopt local elites and educate them to run the colony provided the foundation for future calls for independence. For example, Gandhi attended law school in Britain, where he was most likely introduced to the teachings such as those of Thoreau. (See Sil pp376, 377)
[3] See Iheduru p574
[4] Above (—) p542
[5] India GDP-ppp= 4th highest, per capita GDP 130s; Nigeria GDP-ppp= 44th, per capita GDP 141 (Sil Lecture on India and Nigeria, respectively)
[6] See Sil p372
[7] A notable exception to this is Kashmir in India. Also, the Indians largely took care of their overlapping cleavage problem with the partition of the former colony into India and (eventually) Pakistan and Bangladesh.
[8] See Note 4 and Sil p381 respectively
[9] It may be worth noting that in the yo kingdom, the role of “Oba” or “king” was “not necessarily hereditary.” See (Samuel) Johnson p70
[10]  See Iheduru p537
[11] See Migdal p33
[12] See Sil p370
[13] One must point out, however, that the British did attempt to “divide and rule” the Indians, as represented by the 1905 Bengal partition and the use of high caste Indians in key administrative posts.  (Sil, Lecture on India) However, their history prior to British colonialism made the consolidation of power much easier.
[14] Almost the only clear case of a crosscutting cleavage in Nigeria’s major ethnic groups.
[15] See Iheduru p547
[16] In order to break Igbo control (—p548)
[17] See Mustafa Daily News Analysis
[18] See Sil p399
[19]
[20]The only notable exception being that of the National Council of Nigeria and Cameroons (NCNC)
                  See Iheduru p539
[21] —p563
[22] See Geertz
[23] See Chalmers Johnson p137
[24] Refers to former President Obasanjo’s attempt to sneak an amendment allowing him to run for a third term. See Iheduru p572
[25]

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Interdependent World: The Selfish President

Interdependent World: The Selfish President: "If I am President of my country, I promise to be the most selfish President. I will not embark on any project unless it benefits me. Whate..."

Thursday, June 16, 2011

The Selfish President

If I am President of my country, I promise to be the most selfish President. I will not embark on any project unless it benefits me. Whatever I do will be for my interest only. Next to my interest will be my immediate family's. Heaven knows, that I love my country and it's people but I love myself more. Nigerians are friendly, intelligent, hard working, industrious and I am sure they will be fun to govern.

I will build a network of roads to rival the 'Eisenhower' interstate road system in the United States. I need the roads to allow me and only me to enjoy the sheer beauty of Nigeria from the coastal paradises to the tropical rain forests of East / Western states, to the plush plains of the middle belt and subsaharan north. The roads have to be perfect with special attention given to details because as we all know, a bad road is nothing but a death trap. I love myself too much and will not like to be a victim of such a misfortune. To that end, the projects will be awarded to the best companies in the world with the records of constructing the best roads. I will not award the contract to an incompetent company, even if I have offer of bribes. I will never settle for a second rate contractor because of bribe since I value my life more than the money. If I end up with a life threatening injury, the money will not save me and even if it does, I might end up with permanent scar or disability.

The schools will rival the best schools available anywhere in the world. I will invest in the best technology money can buy for the students. I will also invest in teacher education. In addition, the education will be free for all my fellow citizens. Let's face it, without the help of the government, the quality education which I received was beyond what my Parents could afford. How will this benefit me? I stand to benefit immensely from this because I need a strong, well trained and skilled workforce to maintain my life style as the President. I plan to build the best Presidential Palace to rival Buckingham Palace in London and have the best vacation homes all over the country. I need well trained architects, structural Engineers, builders, electricians, information technologists, etc. I also need pilots, doctors, dentists and civil engineers. For entertainment, I need well trained film producers, actors and musicians.

How about hospitals?. My country will have the best hospitals, that will be as well equipped as any other hospital in the world. Every city will have a specialist or tertiary care hospital. I will convert the current teaching hospitals in Ibadan, Lagos, Kaduna, Kano, Enugu, Port Harcourt, Benin, Maiduguri, Ilorin, Ile-Ife, etc to world class teaching hospitals comparable to any other in the world. I do not have go too far to find the best Doctors to staff these hospitals as there are many Nigerian specialists who are well trained in Europe and America. With the best incentives, I know they will be too happy to come back and take care of their God-sent leader. I will make sure that they are well compensated. They will be assured of at least what they currently make in the United States or Europe.

How can you put a price on my health as the president of the country?. I need these hospitals to take care of me and if my fellow citizens benefit from the services provided, it's okay but that is not the primary reason for building the hospitals in the first place. There will of course be universal free health care for my people because I want them to be healthy so they can take care of my needs. I need a healthy work force. If I am unfortunate to fall sick or have an accident while visiting a remote corner of the country, I want to be assured of the best hospital and personnel to nurse me back to good health.

By educating my citizens and providing them with employment I am thus ensuring my security since there will be less need for them to attack me or my family. Nigerians, especially the rich including the politicians are currently under siege from armed robbery, kidnappings and armed insurgency. The current leaders are just not selfish enough. According to recent revelation by the Nigeria Central bank governor, 25% of the federal governments overhead goes to the federal legislature. If only those legislators are smart enough to use that money to improve the schools and provide employment for the graduates, their lives will be more secure. Also, they stand to make more money off the sweats of those citizens. Nigeria has one of the most skilled workforce in the world, but unfortunately the majority of that workforce is either unemployed or underemployed. When young people have nothing to do, the crime rate will undoubtedly be high since 'the devil finds work for idle hands'.

After living in the United States and seeing the caliber of Nigerians in different fields, there is no doubt in my mind that the country has the potential to be one of the greatest countries in the world. I know that Nigeria has the manpower for any industry needed to develop the country. I will establish industries to provide every thing that the my citizens and I need. This will benefit me immensely by providing me with everything that I need for my comfort.

By developing the educational, health, power, telecommunications, roads and other infrastructures I will provide employment for my people. All these services will be available for me when I need them. By providing employment for my citizens, they will be able to take care of me and protect me.

Since the difference between the developed and underdeveloped countries is that the former takes better care of it's citizens, my country can finally become a developed country. I will not steal a kobo of the country's money. After seeing the fate that has befallen the former leaders in the middle east, I will not want to spend my retirement years in prison or exile. Since running a country is physically and emotionally demanding, I plan to be president for one or two terms, so I can retire and enjoy my retirement in peace like Nelson Mandela.

If my country is developed I know that my survival is guaranteed. As the Yoruba adage goes, ' The tick (or flea) whilst killing itself, thinks it is killing the dog '. (because once the dog dies, the days of the tick are numbered anyway).